The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
PRODUCT DETAILS :
| ISBN : 9780141034591 | |
| BY (AUTHOR) Taleb, Nassim Nicholas | |
| PUBLISHER : Penguin Books Ltd | PUBLICATION DATE : February 28, 2008 |
| COUNTRY OF PUBLICATION : United Kingdom | IMPRINT : Penguin Books Ltd |
| LANGUAGE : English | AGE : General |
| PRODUCT FORM : Paperback / softback | |
WEIGHT : 348 g
PRODUCT CATEGORY :
Mathematics & Science
Philosophy & Religion
Reference, Information & Interdisciplinary subjects
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